Implications of India's Non-Participation in Champions Trophy in Pakistan

During a recent TV debate about the Champions Trophy, a panellist suggested that Sri Lanka should replace India, considering them crucial for the global cricket landscape due to their influence over broadcasters. This depicted the difficult situation that Pakistan, the Pakistan Cricket Board (PCB), and the International Cricket Council (ICC) are facing.

The PCB has been eager to host the Champions Trophy since 1996 to modify the country's unsafe image. However, most global cricket events might not roll without India's participation. The complex scenario further complicated by PCB's resistance towards hosting Indian team's games at a neutral venue, such as the UAE.

With India's Board of Control for Cricket (BCCI) confirming their team's non-participation in Pakistan, three potential scenarios exist. Either the PCB accepts the hybrid model and hosts five of the 15 games in UAE, the Trophy repositioning takes place outside Pakistan, compelling PCB to withdraw, or the competition is delayed indefinitely. All of these scenarios bear severe implications for both the tournament and the PCB's aspirations.

If PCB withdraws, it may face penalties from the ICC, including substantial funding cuts. It would also result in a substantial loss of USD 65 million in hosting fees. 

Pakistan's government has reportedly instructed the PCB to dismiss the hybrid model. A source stated that the PCB would follow this advice. The PCB has now contacted the ICC for insights regarding India's position. Over the past two years, New Zealand has completed three tours, England twice, and Australia once, despite the raised security concerns.